{"author":"Nate Silver","author_id":"Nate+Silver","total_quotes":9,"quotes":[{"text":"We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["information","real","skill "],"id":16928,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"Who needs theory when you have so much information? But this is categorically the wrong attitude to take toward forecasting, especially in a field like economics where the data is so noisy.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["economics","forecasting","statistics"],"id":26993,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["political","people","think "],"id":72432,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"...The ratings agencies' problem was in being unable or uninterested in appreciating the distinction between risk and uncertainty.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["prediction","ratings","risk","uncertainty"],"id":109724,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["bias","knowledge","prediction","self-knowledge","uncertainty","wisdom"],"id":208424,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes' theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["bayes","progress","science"],"id":235262,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"Under Bayes' theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["bayes","progress"],"id":358087,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["noise","self-knowledge "],"id":369992,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"},{"text":"By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.","author":"Nate Silver","tags":["thought","speed","you "],"id":407138,"author_id":"Nate+Silver"}],"pagination":{"page":1,"page_size":10,"total":9,"pages":1}}